Is the press doing its job? Case study 1:

Friday, January 18, 2008 Was AP reporter Glen Johnson being persistent or obnoxious in repeatedly interrupting Mitt Romney at a press conference? Dan Kennedy has the video. Kennedy comes down […]

Friday, January 18, 2008 More on the question of whether journalists are upstaging the candidates they cover: Matthew Ygelsias makes his case against Tim Russert:Viewers watch a candidate getting grilled […]

Last year, I noted that Rudy Giuliani was the only Republican presidential candidate with significant support in almost every state for which polls were available, giving him a substantial advantage […]

When a demographic group gets bigger, it usually becomes more powerful politically, but there is one major exception in the United States: voters who don’t identify with either major party. […]

I’ll be adding more maps interpreting the Michigan primary over the next day or two, but here’s a simple one to start with, showing which candidate got the most votes […]

How did John McCain go from an eight-point victory in the 2000 GOP presidential primary to a nine-point loss this year? The short answer is low turnout. The number of […]

Because she was the only major candidate on the ballot in Michigan, Hillary Clinton’s main rival was the number 50. Getting less than half of the vote would have been […]

Wednesday, January 16, 2008 The Boston Phoenix’s David Bernstein gives John McCain better odds to survive the Republican-voters-only primaries than I do, but his breakdown of the GOP primary electorate […]

John McCain can go a long way toward nailing down the Republican presidential nomination by winning Saturday’s primary in South Carolina, the state in which he suffered his most serious […]

Monday, January 14, 2008 For those interested in our 10-region political map, I have added statistics, in a downloadable Word file, on how each region voted in the 2000 Democratic […]

Thanks to Walking the Berkshires, I’ve discovered the Connecticut Local Politics site, which has some great maps of past elections in the Nutmeg State — as well as the cartograph […]

After winning the New Hampshire primary for the second time, next week John McCain will try to repeat his 2000 win in Michigan. The map below gives some idea of […]

A few days ago I wondered whether Hillary Clinton could replicate the geographical pattern that gave Al Gore a narrow margin over Bill Bradley in the New Hampshire primary eight […]

Watch for dozens of polls in Super Tuesday states to come out a week or so after the New Hampshire primary results come in tonight. The biggest signal of how […]

Hillary Clinton seems to have narrowly upset Barack Obama in the New Hampshire Democratic primary, while John McCain beat Mitt Romney by a comfortable margin on the Republican side. Interestingly, […]

As we wait for the New Hampshire results, we can ponder the map from the last tight Democratic primary here, when Al Gore defeated Bill Bradley by about 6,000 votes […]

Last night’s Republican presidential debate provided pretty solid evidence for the theory that the other candidates have a special dislike for former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. All of them except […]

A quick glance at the returns from Thursday’s Iowa caucuses (see county-by-county results here) shows that Democrat Barack Obama came somewhat close to replicating John Kerry’s patterns of strength (see […]

In order for Howard Dean to win the 2004 Democratic primary, he needed to roll up big margins in the communities near the Vermont border and come reasonably close to […]

Our previous post looked at the last competitive New Hampshire primary on the Democratic side. Below is a depiction of candidates’ strongholds in the last competitive Republican primary: 1996, when […]

According to the "entrance poll" reported in the New York Times, Obama was as popular among women as among men (35 percent in both cases), but there was a huge […]