Presidential election 2008

Watch for dozens of polls in Super Tuesday states to come out a week or so after the New Hampshire primary results come in tonight. The biggest signal of how […]

Hillary Clinton seems to have narrowly upset Barack Obama in the New Hampshire Democratic primary, while John McCain beat Mitt Romney by a comfortable margin on the Republican side. Interestingly, […]

As we wait for the New Hampshire results, we can ponder the map from the last tight Democratic primary here, when Al Gore defeated Bill Bradley by about 6,000 votes […]

Last night’s Republican presidential debate provided pretty solid evidence for the theory that the other candidates have a special dislike for former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. All of them except […]

Our previous post looked at the last competitive New Hampshire primary on the Democratic side. Below is a depiction of candidates’ strongholds in the last competitive Republican primary: 1996, when […]

A quick glance at the returns from Thursday’s Iowa caucuses (see county-by-county results here) shows that Democrat Barack Obama came somewhat close to replicating John Kerry’s patterns of strength (see […]

In order for Howard Dean to win the 2004 Democratic primary, he needed to roll up big margins in the communities near the Vermont border and come reasonably close to […]

According to the "entrance poll" reported in the New York Times, Obama was as popular among women as among men (35 percent in both cases), but there was a huge […]

As others have already noted, in almost every presidential campaign there’s a candidate who says he or she is going to win on the basis of new voters (especially young […]

While we wait for the Iowa results (and the maps they’ll bring!), here is a simple chart showing that a win in Iowa doesn’t necessarily act as a "slingshot" guaranteeing […]

Our previous post showed that New Hampshire primary voters don’t always fall in line with the choices  of Iowa caucus-goers. Here’s some geographical context on the Democratic side. A backlash […]

The "Iowa bounce" is of dubious reliability in both parties (see previous posts), but Republican voters in New Hampshire seem especially resistant to it. Each of the winners in the […]

With the Iowa caucuses little more than a week away, the holiday season is already over for political bloggers. I’m not rash enough to make predictions, and I can’t add […]

The role of political dynasties in American politics is once again a hot political topic, thanks to the frontrunner for the Democratic presidential nomination (Hillary Clinton, wife of a former […]

Correspondent Chris V. asks: If you have not done an article yet on how the moving of the primaries to Super Tuesday in February could lead to weather deciding who […]

There’s a kerfuffle over the fact that one of the just plain folks allowed to question the Republican candidates at last night’s debate was actually connected to the Hillary Clinton […]

More fun with past presidential primaries below. This map is a mash-up of the 1988 and 1992 Democratic primaries, showing the strongholds of Jesse Jackson in 1988 (where he won […]

Expect a lot more data from past presidential primaries as we get closer to Iowa and New Hampshire, but here is a relatively simple map. It shows where Bill Clinton […]

In Iowa, both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are claiming to be the more "electable" Democrat in a general election. But a mash-up of polls at RealClearPolitics suggests that it […]

We’re not taking sides at Beyond Red & Blue, and I’m not cynical enough to hope for drawn-out presidential primary campaigns just to amuse us and give us data with […]

For all the polling that’s being done in New Hampshire, we rarely get any sense of the geographical divisions in the state. A few polling organizations break the state into […]

Last week the Democratic Party made gains in legislative races in Mississippi and Virginia, resulting in the map that you see above. (See the National Conference of State Legislatures for […]

The odds look good that Massachusetts will join the de facto national presidential primary on February 5. We were actually part of the biggest primary day in 2004, when we […]

Wednesday, November 7, 2007 Via Andrew Sullivan, here is a report on the blog Urbanspoon that finds a correlation between sushi restaurants and Democratic votes in big cities. Of course, […]