Presidential election 2008

While we wait for tonight’s returns from the final two Democratic primaries, in Montana and South Dakota, here are a few maps that suggest the strengths and weaknesses of Barack […]

In today’s Boston Globe, former Democratic vice-presidential nominee Geraldine Ferraro proposes a formal study on whether sexism hurt Hillary Clinton’s 2008 presidential campaign:…a group of women – from corporate executives […]

For real election obsessives, I’ve posted an Excel spreadsheet with complete primary results so far: Download 2008primariesbycountyasofMay27.xls (1181.5K) Not surprisingly, it is a very large file and may take a […]

Survey USA has released 17 different polls on how well John McCain and Barack Obama would do in Pennsylvania with different running mates. Not surprisingly, Obama does best when paired […]

The Boston Globe’s Political Intelligence blog is reporting today that nearly 50 Massachusetts supporters of the pro-choice group NARAL have signed a letter asking that the organization retract its recent […]

The Boston Globe’s Joan Vennochi has a typically clear-eyed column on the refusal by many of Hillary Clinton’s female supporters to concede the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. But […]

Over the past few decades, Democratic presidential candidates have done increasingly well in urban areas and Republicans have strengthened their hold over rural areas. The map below shows the major […]

As other bloggers have noted (see Al Giordano), Barack Obama’s weakness among rural voters seems most pronounced along the Appalachian Mountains, though the map below suggests that the anti-Obama region […]

The Boston Phoenix’s Steven Stark says that if the presidential election were held today, Barack Obama and John McCain would each get 269 electoral votes, throwing the election into the […]

The consensus in the mainstream media is that Hillary Clinton lost any chance for the Democratic presidential nomination yesterday, thanks to a big defeat in North Carolina and only a […]

What more to say about Pennsylvania? The Democratic race has become a sitcom, in which all the stock characters — the sassy grandma, the dumb jock, etc. — go through […]

  I’ve added the Pennsylvania results to the chart showing how Clinton and Obama have fared in our 10 political regions. For the first time, Obama leads in four regions, […]

I’m working on some charts and maps showing which counties have a consistent bias for or against the incumbent party in presidential elections, which may take a little while. As […]

John Judis has a New Republic piece warning that Barack Obama will have a very tough time winning the "white working class vote" in November:Obama comes from a modest background […]

"Why is Barack Obama smiling?" I wondered. But I quickly realized that the 8-1/2 inch x 12 glossy in my mailbox wasn’t from the Illinois senator. It was a stinging […]

After looking at the map of the 10 States of American Politics, Brian wrote:A friend suggested Broward County (FL) be included with Northeast Corridor, just as Miami-Dade was put with […]

  In our journey through recent presidential elections, we come to 1976, the high-water mark for the Democratic Party over the past 40 years and the last time that party […]

Taking into account updated results from several primary and caucus states, here is a county-by-county map on the relative strengths of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton so far. (Look for […]

As promised, here is more data than is good for anyone. There may still be minor variations from official totals, but I think this is about 99% complete — except, […]

In our survey of recent presidential elections, we now reach 1968, which this year could be a scary historical parallel for either Republicans (incumbent party collapses in the midst of […]

As we move into the 1960 election (see previous post on the 1948 election), one of our 10 States of American Politics clearly comes into view. The Northeast Corridor had […]