As we progress through the presidential election year, I’ll be posting maps and spreadsheets showing how American political geography has changed over the past 60 years, and how those trends […]
Presidential election 2008
Whatever happened to the Electoral College?
A commenter named Patience argues that Obama is more likely than Clinton to get a popular-vote mandate:I think the Democratic candidate will win in 2008, but I also think Barack […]
What went into deciding the 10 regions?
Thanks again to Michael Barone for linking to the 10 Regions of American Politics. But Barone did say that some of the regions "don’t make much sense to me." That’s […]
Will Massachusetts turn red in November?
Dave Leip’s Atlas of Presidential Election now has separate maps showing current state-by-state polls for an Obama-McCain matchup and a Clinton-McCain race. For what it’s worth, the aggregate of polls […]
The 2004 Bush swing and the 2008 Democratic primaries
Welcome, Michael Barone readers. (My copy of his Almanac of American Politics is always near my computer.) To elaborate on the point that Barack Obama seems to be doing best […]
Rejecting and denouncing rejecting and denouncing
The Atlantic’s James Fallows can’t resist blogging about the American presidential campaign from China. This particular post is about the audacity of the Clinton campaign in getting its messages out […]
The 10 Regions of Democratic primary politics
The chart below shows how the two leading Democratic presidential candidates, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, have been faring in our 10 Regions of US Politics. The figures include all […]
Who can change the Electoral College map?
Michael Barone says that an Obama/McCain match in November could radically change the red vs. blue map of 2000 and 2004. The Boston Phoenix’s Steven Stark is more skeptical that […]
Six more weeks of pointless arguing?
You can’t open a browser this morning without stumbling onto some election analysis, so I won’t go over the minutiae from the exit polls from Ohio and Texas. But it […]
Completely unsubstantiated VP speculation
There’s chatter about Clinton and Obama (presented here in alphabetical order) forming a unity ticket to bring this interminable Democratic primary campaign to a close, the problem being that both […]
Disasters on the horizon?
Slate.com’s Daniel Gross discusses the high number of natural disasters — that is, snowstorms, tornados, and the like that are declared disasters by the federal government — during presidential election […]
Lay of the land: Ohio Democratic primary
Though Ohio isn’t quite as kaleidoscopic as Wisconsin, its voting patterns in Democratic presidential primaries is pretty colorful. And, as in Wisconsin, the political diversity of its major cities often […]
Obama’s Massachusetts problem
When he first uttered it in an earlier debate, it could be passed off as slip of the tongue. But after last night’s debate, it became hard to ignore: Barack […]
Obama wins red states and blue counties
Brendan Nyhan has some nice graphs plotting Barack Obama’s support in primaries and caucuses by several variables, including education levels and the number of white Southern Baptists in a state. […]
Romney as the logical choice?
Tuesday, February 19, 2008 David Eisenthal has already come up with the theory that this year’s presidential election will follow the storyline of The West Wing. Now Peter Porcupine sees […]
Just who are these superdelegates anyway?
The Washinton Post has an easy-to-read list here, but it doesn’t include any suggestion of how they’re leaning. All Democratic congressmen and governors are included; the category "distinguished party leaders," […]
“The West Wing” election?
David Eisenthal marvels at the parallels between the last season of The West Wing and a possible Obama-McCain match-up in the fall, with Obama played by Jimmy Smits and McCain […]
The kiss of death for Obama?
Ted Olson, who represented the Republicans before the Supreme Court in its attempt to untangle the 2000 presidential election, is gleeful that this year’s Democratic nomination may be decided by […]
Obama vs. Patrick
The two maps below show how the votes for Barack Obama in last week’s Massachusetts presidential primary stacked up to the votes for Deval Patrick in the 2006 gubernatorial primary. […]
The Census view of Election 2008
Even the Census Bureau is caught up in election fever. Its website has an elections page that summarizes the demographics of each state holding a primary or caucus. Both Maryland […]
Lay of the Land: Maryland presidential primary
Few states have had as many competitive presidential primaries as Maryland, which has elements of North and South, urban and rural, and white and black America. The map below shows […]
Kennedy votes for Clinton, Clinton votes for Obama
More detailed numbers to follow, but I’ve been tracking how the Democratic candidates are doing in counties that were carried by certain other Democratic candidates in past primaries. Despite Ted […]
Here’s why I’m supporting…
Sunday, February 10, 2008 In my column today on local politics for the Boston Sunday Globe’s City Weekly section, I look at the increasing use of personal email pleas and […]
