The Census view of Election 2008

Even the Census Bureau is caught up in election fever. Its website has an elections page that summarizes the demographics of each state holding a primary or caucus. Both Maryland […]

Few states have had as many competitive presidential primaries as Maryland, which has elements of North and South, urban and rural, and white and black America. The map below shows […]

More detailed numbers to follow, but I’ve been tracking how the Democratic candidates are doing in counties that were carried by certain other Democratic candidates in past primaries. Despite Ted […]

Sunday, February 10, 2008 In my column today on local politics for the Boston Sunday Globe’s City Weekly section, I look at the increasing use of personal email pleas and […]

Jay Fitzgerald at Hub Blog already flagged this, but the most startling passage in today’s New York Times post-mortem of the Mitt Romney presidential campaign, written by Michael Luo, was […]

Matt O’Malley has a great rundown on how Boston’s 22 wards voted in Tuesday’s Democratic presidential primary. (It’s also on Blue Mass Group.) With most election analysis centered on county-by-county […]

The maps below show where Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama ran up the biggest margins against each other on Super Tuesday (in other words, where they didn’t count votes, they […]

Crunching the numbers from Super Tuesday (and the preceding primaries), I noticed that Hillary Clinton has done especially well in counties that swung toward the Republicans in the 2004 presidential […]

Friday, February 8, 2008 There’s more data, and speculation, on Obama’s weak showing among white Catholics at PolySigh. One commenter offers this theory: "This is probably more of an ‘Irish […]

In an online chat, the Washington Post’s Paul Kane says that it’s mathematically impossible for the rest of the Democratic primaries to determine a nominee: Ohio is not at all […]

The map below shows the ratio of votes cast in the Democratic presidential primary to those cast in the Republican primary this year. As has been widely reported, the Democratic […]

Lots of Super Tuesday maps to come in this space soon… In the meantime, the New York Times has county-by-county results for the Democrats here and for the Republicans here. […]

Go to Dave Leip’s Atlas of US Presidential Elections for good charts on the primary votes so far. One interesting data point: Though Barack Obama is now considered a slight […]

There may be another hurdle for Barack Obama in that he’s running against a de facto incumbent, and many voters don’t even consider an alternative if they’re satisfied with the […]

We’re now in the zone between public opinion surveys and hard numbers for today’s presidential primaries. The first results should come from Georgia, which stops voting at 7 p.m. In […]

They’re coming out too fast to keep track of. Generally, they point to a slight Clinton lead in most states voting tomorrow, but who really knows? In an election that’s […]

Monday, February 4, 2008 Though I’ve been relying on the New York Times to find out where the candidates have been popping up, the Washington Post website actually has a […]

Monday, February 4, 2008 We worried about football vs. politics in Massachusetts last week, but now it’s New York’s problem.

The past couple of days have brought three radically different polls on the Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary next Tuesday. Rasmussen has Hillary Clinton up by six points, 43-37, over Barack […]

Hillary Clinton remains in California after last night’s debate, with appearances in San Diego, which backed Bill Clinton in the 1992 primary, and San Francisco, which has voted against the […]

The Super Tuesday polls are getting way beyond any possible explanation. Survey USA, which yesterday gave Hillary Clinton a 24-point lead in Massachusetts, today gives Barack Obama a four-point lead […]